Andrey Wijaya, Mutiara Nita - RHB Sekuritas
Link to report: https://research.rhbtradesmart.com/attachments/28/rhb-report-ind_basic-materials-indonesia-cement_sector-update_20181210_rhb-189944120292002265c0d30a6e6b4f.pdf
We upgrade the sector to OVERWEIGHT from Neutral, Top Pick: SMGR.
Consolidation in the industry is likely in progress, indicated by the sale of majority stakes in Holcim Indonesia and Semen Panasia.
Cement makers started to increase ASPs to partially pass on higher costs.
In 2019, the overcapacity scenario is likely to be sustained. However, unutilised production capacity may decline.
We expect the FY19F earnings growth of the domestic cement companies under our universe to turn around to 17% YoY ( FY18F: -11% YoY), thanks to higher sales volumes and ASPs.
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