Andrey Wijaya, Mutiara Nita - RHB Sekuritas
Link to report: https://research.rhbtradesmart.com/attachments/84/rhb-report-ind_consumer-staples_sector-update_20181212_rhb-945763013974494625c1033a494919.pdf
Maintain OVERWEIGHT, with ICBP and MYOR as our Top Picks.
We expect FY19F earnings growth of Indonesia consumer staples companies under our coverage (ICBP, ROTI, UNVR, and MYOR) to accelerate, driven by higher sales on expected improved consumer spending, thanks to higher government stimulus.
The Government increased its social protection subsidies to boost consumer spending.
Regional Governments ruled 2019 minimum wage hike of 8% YoY – which is much higher than inflation rate.
Consumer Confidence Index is also at a high.
Main risks are weaker IDR and higher subsidised fuel price
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