Mayora Indah(MYOR IJ)
Growing export revenues
MYOR reported 1Q18 earnings of IDR396bn, up 5.1% yoy but down 38.6%
qoq, thanks to high gross margins and forex gains. In 1Q18 the contribution
of export revenues increased to 43% of total revenues (1Q17: 39%). The
1Q18 earnings are above consensus estimates (27.2%) and our forecast
(29%).
Solid 1Q18 top line with 43% contribution from exports. MYOR booked 1Q18
revenues of IDR5.4tn (+8.7% yoy and -16.9% qoq), supported by the food
processing division (+7.6% yoy) while the coffee/chocolate business booked
+2.8% yoy revenues growth. The 1Q18 revenues are in line with our target
(22.9%) and the consensus estimates (23.6%). In 1Q18 the contribution of
export revenues increased to 43% of total revenues (1Q17: 39%).
Solid earnings thanks to high gross margins and forex gains. In 1Q18, MYOR
reported a 25.6% gross margin. By division, coffee and chocolate reported
continued high gross margins of 27% - mainly supported by soft raw material
prices (Wheat, CPO), while food processing reported maintained gross margins
at 24.4%. However, MYOR reported slightly lower 1Q18 operating margins
(1Q17: 11.8%) given lower food processing margins. Based on our channel
checks, Mayora has undertaken many promotional activities for its food
processing division in the past few months. Thanks to strong margins in the
coffee and chocolate business, MYOR reported 1Q18 operating margins at
11.2%. Below the operating level, forex gains supported the pretax profits of
IDR642bn (+30.9% yoy). This filtered through to 1Q18 net profits of IDR396bn
(+5.1% yoy and -38.6% qoq). %). The 1Q18 earnings are above consensus
estimates (27.2%) and our forecast (29%).
Maintain HOLD. We continue to like MYOR given its solid fundamentals,
growing export revenues and continued innovations, which have helped the
company to maintain market share. The festive season in the coming quarters
followed by the presidential election in 2019 should also support demand for
consumer products. We will revisit our forecast following the release of the
1Q18 result.
Natalia Sutanto
(62-21) 2955 5888 ext.3508
natalia.sutanto@danareksa.com
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