Analisa Saham | RALS | 24 Juli 2017
FR CIMB (YU) : Ramayana Lestari | PDF
2Q17 preview: A year to forget
RALS IJ / RALS.JK | HOLD - Maintained | Rp1,025.00 tp:Rp950.00▼
Mkt.Cap:US$546.30m | Avg.Daily Vol:US$0.98m | Free Float:30.80%
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■ We cut our FY17F sales forecast by another 1.7% to Rp8.5tr, on the back of 2.5% SSSG on weak Eid holiday sales and no significant recovery signs in 2H17F.
■ We expect FY17F net profit to fall 13.1% yoy to Rp355bn on 100bp gross margin contraction, despite broadly flat opex.
■ RALS has derated by c.20% in the past month. Even so, we keep our Hold call due to weak purchasing power and declining earnings growth.
■ We cut our TP to Rp950, based on 15.1x 2018 P/E. Our FY17F/18F EPS are now 22%/19% below consensus’s.
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